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presidential politics

April 9, 2022

From aloofness to panic: Macron could yet lose the French presidency

John Keiger Emmanuel Macron’s aloofness from electioneering, the collapse of party loyalties and seething public dissatisfaction have created a heady recipe for the French presidential election, says John Keiger. The incumbent could even lose – or end up severely damaged in terms of legitimacy for a second term Read more
April 6, 2022

Can Marine Le Pen win the French presidential elections?

Giovanni Capoccia A second term of office for Emmanuel Macron remains the most probable outcome of the French Presidential election, but it is no longer a foregone conclusion. The race with Marine Le Pen now looks more competitive than ever, says Giovanni Capoccia. Read more
February 4, 2022

Italy elects a new President – by re-electing an old one

Bill Emmott Italy has just elected a new President – by giving the incumbent, Sergio Mattarella, a second term of office. An outbreak of ‘business as usual'? No, says Bill Emmott – the election has exposed deep divisions in party politics which could have ramifications for government stability Read more
December 6, 2021

The Italian Presidential election is looming – and jockeying for position has begun

Nicholas Whithorn In January, Italy must elect a new President in a ritual equivalent to a Papal conclave. The likely contenders are already emerging, but, argues Nicholas Whithorn, there are no certainties in this election – especially when there are complications concerning the favourite, Mario Draghi Read more
November 9, 2021

An increasingly Eurosceptic French electorate threatens the EU

Giovanni Capoccia Giovanni Capoccia argues that the 2022 French Presidential elections could constitute a greater threat to the EU than any current challenge. Although unlikely at present, a Eurosceptic French President would precipitate the greatest crisis in the EU’s history – and there is still much to play for Read more
May 13, 2021

The Palestinian elections that weren't

Jørgen Jensehaugen Palestinians in the Occupied Territories had been set to vote in the first legislative and presidential elections in fifteen years. But in a last-minute decision, President Abbas postponed the elections indefinitely. Once again, the Palestinian people are left in political limbo with unelected leaders, write Jørgen Jensehaugen and Erling Lorentzen Sogge Read more
April 26, 2021

Voting for the 'lesser evil': the Peruvian Presidential election

Lucía Dammert On 6 June, amid a profound health and economic crisis, presidential elections take place in Peru. Voting for the lesser of two evils is not new, writes Lucia Dammert, yet the 2021 election deepens Peru's political deterioration and further weakens its democratic governance Read more
March 24, 2021

The annulment of ex-president Lula’s conviction is a turning point in Brazil’s 2022 elections

Larissa Peixoto Gomes The possibility of Lula running for office in 2022 has already nudged Bolsonaro to change course. Yet, write Larissa Peixoto Gomes and Fernanda Barasuol, although Lula’s candidacy is a likely scenario, it is not guaranteed Read more

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Advancing Political Science
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