🦋 Shift happens: rethinking democracy research in times of crisis

Democracy research must evolve. Citizens support democracy itself, but are growing disillusioned with democratic institutions. Norma Osterberg-Kaufmann and Christoph Mohamad-Klotzbach say we need to rethink our frameworks. Here, they argue for broadening the empirical paradigm – shifting focus from procedural checklists to people’s own understandings of democracy – to better grasp today’s crisis

Contemporary democracy research faces a pressing challenge: how should it respond to the growing gap between citizens’ widespread support for the idea of democracy and their deepening dissatisfaction with its practice? Around the world, citizens profess allegiance to democracy, yet trust in democratic institutions is eroding. Elections happen, parties compete, parliaments legislate.

Still, people feel unheard, unseen, unrepresented. This discontent raises a central question: what concept of democracy underlies both our evaluations and measurements of democracy? Is the crisis merely institutional or also mental, cultural, and emotional?

We argue that the crisis of democracy reflects more than failing institutions. It reflects a mismatch between how democracy is currently structured and how people understand and experience it. To confront this, we need to revisit the assumptions driving democracy research itself.

Are we facing a paradigm shift?

Thomas Kuhn famously defined paradigms as shared frameworks of theories, values, and methods that guide normal science. Paradigm shifts occur when anomalies accumulate – when the dominant framework can no longer explain the world it is meant to describe.

In democracy research, a similar situation is emerging. Much of the field still operates within a narrow liberal-procedural paradigm. Elections, formal institutions, and state structures dominate empirical studies of democracy but they still fail in their task. Why?

Elections, formal institutions, and state structures dominate empirical studies of democracy but they still fail in their task. Why?

A narrow empirical lens

Empirical democracy research tends to treat democracy as a fixed institutional structure. Most democracy indices, such as Freedom House, Polity, or V-Dem derive their indicators from liberal Western political theory. They focus heavily on the supply side: elections mainly, additional rule of law, institutional checks and balances. These are seen as universal benchmarks.

Yet this deductive approach often assumes a global consensus around one model of democracy, which Robert Dahl termed 'polyarchy'. Polyarchy sidelines alternative understandings of democracy, and limits engagement with how democracy is perceived and practiced by different populations.

The neglected demand side

While supply-side measures dominate, the demand side – how people understand and evaluate democracy – remains under-researched. Major surveys like the World Values Survey or regional barometers include questions on democratic attitudes, but they often embed polyarchic assumptions. They test support for democracy/polyarchy as defined in the West, rather than exploring how democracy is imagined elsewhere.

To understand the democratic crisis, we must understand how people define democracy. Citizens may reject current democratic institutions not because they oppose democracy, but because these institutions fail to reflect their democratic expectations.

Opening, not overturning, the paradigm

Rather than advocating for a complete paradigm shift, we propose opening the current paradigm to a wider array of perspectives. This means moving beyond a one-size-fits-all model and embracing democracy as a contested concept.

Instead of measuring democracy solely through institutional design, we should examine the principles democracy is meant to serve

Instead of measuring democracy solely through institutional design, we should examine the principles democracy is meant to serve. What is the core purpose of democracy – globally, and across cultures? And how can different institutional forms realise this purpose?

This approach allows us to connect empirical democracy research more directly with comparative democratic theory. It broadens the lens beyond polyarchy to include traditions like republicanism, communitarianism, or indigenous governance models. It also invites us to look beyond the country-state: to local assemblies, citizen juries, expert councils, or other non-state democratic practices.

Rethinking comparative research

Opening the paradigm has major implications for comparative research. It shifts the focus from asking, 'Does this country have free and fair elections?' to asking, 'How do people here understand democracy? What principles matter to them? And do their institutions reflect these principles?'

This dual perspective – bottom-up and top-down – can help generate a more global and pluralistic concept of democracy. We propose a cyclical framework. By starting from individual-level data (citizens’ understandings of democracy), we can inductively build a concept of democracy. We can then compare the result with theoretical traditions and re-test it through deductive surveys. The cycle ensures that both normative ideals and empirical realities inform our understanding.

Principles over procedures

Such an approach enables us to assess not only the presence of democratic institutions but their quality and legitimacy on the ground, for the people they concern. Do current institutions fulfil the core democratic principles people care about? If not, reform may be needed – not to abandon democracy, but to bring it closer to what people expect from it.

This shift also affects how we distinguish democracy from autocracy. Rather than ticking off institutional checklists, we can ask whether the core principles of democracy are being fulfilled, however they are institutionalised. This helps us, for example, to better understand why democratic backsliding can occur in democratic regimes and why it is accepted by parts of the electorate who vote for populist-authoritarian leaders or parties.

From Western universalism to global dialogue

Opening the paradigm has broader socio-political implications. If comparative democracy research moves beyond Western-centric models, it can foster an inclusive, global dialogue about democracy’s future. Ideas developed in non-Western contexts could revitalise democracy in the West itself.

If comparative democracy research moves beyond Western-centric models, it can foster an inclusive, global dialogue about democracy’s future

Of course, this is not without risks. The erosion of polyarchy may raise concerns about democratic backsliding. But ignoring alternative visions only deepens the disconnect between theory and lived experience. What’s needed is critical reflection, not defensiveness.

Shift happens

The democratic crisis is not only political, but also conceptual. To understand and address it, democracy research must evolve. We do not call for a revolution in Kuhn’s sense, but for a deliberate and thoughtful opening of the empirical paradigm.

By shifting focus from institutional forms to democratic principles, we can reconnect democracy research with the people it ultimately serves. This makes comparative democracy research more relevant, more responsive – and more democratic.

No.115 in a Loop thread on the Science of Democracy. Look out for the 🦋 to read more

This article presents the views of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the ECPR or the Editors of The Loop.

Contributing Authors

photograph of Norma Osterberg-Kaufmann Norma Osterberg-Kaufmann Researcher and Lecturer, Humboldt University Berlin More by this author
photograph of Christoph Mohamad-Klotzbach Christoph Mohamad-Klotzbach Researcher, University of Würzburg More by this author

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Comments

3 comments on “🦋 Shift happens: rethinking democracy research in times of crisis”

  1. Thanks for your stimulating blog post.
    I have some difficulty with the idea that there is a 'crisis of democracy', but that's not central to your arguments.
    Maybe we can learn from Dahl in a different way, and use the 'D word' less often in our research on democracy. I appreciate your call for more people-centric and inductive research. In doing that, we likely need to have a minimal core definition of democracy, such simply 'rule by the people', but ask questions about people's expectations and hopes for democracy without using the word. We tried to do some of this in our PODS research (https://www.idea.int/publications/catalogue/perceptions-of-democracy-survey), but we didn't get as far as I think we need to.
    Fundamentally, I think you've laid out the broad outlines of a very promising way to move forward.

  2. I am deeply grateful for this highly illuminating blog post. Reading it prompted me, as a Japanese scholar, to reflect on several points.

    First, when a number of countries achieved democratization in the late 1980s and early 1990s through "the power of the powerless," we spoke of "civil society" and of "the empowerment of citizens" as the driving force of democracy. We emphasized the importance of the "active functioning of voluntary associations within civil society" and of "active citizenship," understood as the public participation of citizens. These were expected to deepen and revitalize existing democracies. As C.D. Lummis argued, the most radical meaning of democracy is "people's power." Yet, what struck me while reading this post is the sobering fact that, even after such discussions, the mainstream studies of democracy remained largely unchanged, still centered on institutional theories of democracy such as polyarchy.

    Second, it is often said that, in Japan, the people have no historical experience of having won democracy through revolution; rather, democracy was introduced after the defeat of World War II under American occupation. Because of this, the idea that democracy requires citizens with a sense of public responsibility has never been deeply rooted among either politicians or ordinary people. Nearly eighty years have passed since democratic institutions were put in place, and many Japanese assume that democracy has already been realized: after all, the Constitution declares popular sovereignty, and representatives are chosen through elections. At universities, very few students feel the need to critically reexamine democracy. Even if students do not know the names of Schumpeter or Dahl, their own understanding of democracy hardly differs from those theorists. It is not that students actively believe "this is sufficient," but rather that they lack the imaginative capacity to conceive of democracy in any alternative form.

    Third, when teaching theories of democracy at Japanese universities, one almost inevitably relies on textbooks that draw on Western experiences and discuss Western theorists and thinkers. For Japanese students, theories of democracy built upon contexts quite different from their own rarely resonate as meaningful knowledge; instead, they are memorized for exams and quickly forgotten. Under these circumstances, it is difficult to expect political research to cultivate citizens capable of sustaining democracy. At the same time, it is equally difficult to teach democracy directly from Japan's own historical experience, since democratic practices in this country have not been cultivated over the centuries (of course we can teach the twentieth-century history of Japanese parity politics, though).

    A.D. Lindsay once criticized a form of political research that merely described each nation's institutions. He insisted that we must also examine the "operative ideals": the ideals operative enough in people's minds "to make them go on obeying a particular form of government or, at times, to make them break up the form of government they are accustomed to and try to construct a new one." Only in this way, he argued, can we understand why similar political institutions function effectively in some countries but fail and collapse in others. Lindsay called such inquiry political theory, as distinct from empirical political science. Perhaps we have given far too little thought to how such research should be conducted. Yet the need for grounded inquiry into how people actually perceive democracy seems to me ever more pressing.

  3. This is an interesting contribution that shifts focus in research on the science of democracy to what you call the 'demand side' (although I'd suggest using a term not taken from economics, such as demos or bottom up perspective). It makes a well-founded argument that crises of democracy and democratic backsliding could be better understood (and possibly addressed) by giving principles of democracy more attention instead of merely talking about procedures and instutitional aspects.

    Interestingly, the contribution does not call for a paradigm shift in the study of democracies, but rather advocates the opening of the current paradigm. However, while maintaining this link seems sensible, wouldn't a more radical departure from the current approach to understanding and measuring democracy be required to go beyond existing pluralistic approaches?

    An important future path in this line of thinking could be to embed this shifted focus in an exisiting (some version of republicanism) or a new kind of (empirical) democratic theory to avoid a merely incremental change. A stronger theoretical foundation could also be connected to measurement and empirical analysis more deeply through formalized framings, for example, through concept structures.

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