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warfare

August 8, 2023

How do French and German voters view arms exports?

Lukas Rudolph The war in Ukraine has focussed attention on public attitudes to arms exports. New research by Lukas Rudolph, Markus Freitag, and Paul Thurner finds that in France and Germany, while a small minority is in principled opposition, a large majority makes nuanced trade-offs when articulating their positions on the issue of arms exports Read more
February 20, 2023

Why the 'Kosovo precedent' was a gateway for Russia’s abuse of international law

Lena Surzhko-Harned The Kosovo war helped consolidate the Responsibility to Protect norm. But Lena Surzhko-Harned and Jiří Nykodým argue that it also created the 'Kosovo precedent' used to undermine international law. Russia has often exploited this narrative to justify its current war in Ukraine Read more
November 9, 2022

Putin’s nuclear weapons talk is a bluff, but one with significant consequences

Albrecht Rothacher President Putin has been clear in his intentions to use all force necessary, including nuclear weapons, to achieve his goals. This, argues Albrecht Rothacher, is a bluff, but its very use has hugely damaging consequences for international relations Read more
November 2, 2022

Ukraine has asked Israel for weapons support and they might, eventually, get it

Nikola Mikovic Russian drone and missile strikes on Ukrainian critical energy infrastructure have forced Kyiv to ask Israel for help. According to Nikola Mikovic, the Jewish State could eventually start providing weapons to Ukraine, although Israeli officials will unlikely publicly confirm it Read more
October 17, 2022

Can Azerbaijan become a reliable gas supplier for Europe?

Gubad Ibadoghlu Russia's war in Ukraine poses a threat to Europe’s energy security, prompting the EU to search for new gas suppliers. One of these is Azerbaijan. Gubad Ibadoglu explores the capacity of the country’s gas transport and production and assesses the potential for Azerbaijan to become a reliable gas supplier for Europe Read more
October 7, 2022

Nord Stream sabotage: the dangers of ignoring subsea politics

Christian Bueger What happens on the bottom of the world’s oceans is usually little noted, and the age of U-boats and traditional submarine warfare seems distant history. The underwater sabotage of the Nord Stream pipelines in the Baltic Sea forces us to reconsider, say Christian Bueger and Tobias Liebetrau Read more
September 20, 2022

China's aggression towards Taiwan is more bark than bite

Albrecht Rothacher Albrecht Rothacher contends that China’s recent threats towards Taiwan in response to Nancy Pelosi’s visit should not be taken at face value. An invasion of Taiwan would be a highly dangerous mission for China, carrying enormous costs for both China, the US and Europe Read more
August 9, 2022

Is it time for NATO to give Ukraine a nuclear guarantee?

Paul Whiteley Paul Whiteley, assessing Russia's difficulties and Putin's potential next steps in the offensive against Ukraine, wonders whether it is time for NATO to issue a nuclear guarantee to Ukraine in order to prevent a further escalation of the conflict Read more

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