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geopolitics

May 29, 2026

🧭 The EU’s Turkish dilemma and enlargement

Murat Aktaş Ursula von der Leyen’s move to group Türkiye with Russia and China jeopardises the EU’s new security architecture. Murat Aktaş warns that treating an official EU candidate and ally as an 'excluded partner' is a strategic miscalculation. This deepening crack between rhetoric and reality creates an ontological crisis, threatening the credibility of the enlargement policy Read more
May 26, 2026

🎈 The European Democracy Shield: defending what?

Omran Shroufi We commonly hear EU leaders talk about the need to ‘defend democracy’. Yet, as Omran Shroufi shows, their discourse is often more about identifying and naming geopolitical threats than it is about tackling pervasive, home-grown structural problems of democratic disconnect and disillusionment Read more
May 19, 2026

Sino-US AI geopolitical game theory

Jeanne Marie Jacqueline Vincendeau Tensions in the AI race don't necessarily foreshadow doom, but they are the consequence of a game of imperfect information. Jeanne Vincendeau explains that the framework of any game based on Bayesian theory is neutral. The mistrust between China and the US arises from the misinterpretation of each other's behaviour Read more
April 20, 2026

Why regime-change wars return when world order is in transition 

Fulvio Attinà Why do regime-change wars re-emerge when global order is under strain? As multilateral institutions lose effectiveness and legitimacy, Fulvio Attinà argues that states are increasingly turning to unilateral or coalition-based force. Interventions such as those in Iraq, Libya, Ukraine, and Iran reflect not isolated crises, but a deeper process of coalition reconfiguration during systemic transition  Read more
April 1, 2026

🧭 Why EU agencies can make enlargement tangible

Matis Poussardin Russia’s invasion of Ukraine made EU enlargement a strategic necessity without altering its merit-based rules. The tension between urgency and strict conditionality endures. Matis Poussardin argues that EU agencies can bridge this gap by enabling gradual, sector-specific participation in EU governance without lowering accession standards Read more
March 20, 2026

India in a fix amid US-Israel war against Iran 

Sonia Sarkar India sits precariously in this US-Israel-led war against its old regional partner Iran. This, says Sonia Sarkar, is because of Hindu supremacist Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s proximity to Israel's leader Benjamin Netanyahu  Read more
March 19, 2026

Why Iran’s institutional design complicates regime change 

Williamkery Gaddam Predictions of regime collapse in Iran often misunderstand the Islamic Republic’s internal mechanics, says Williamkery Gaddam. Authority is not centralised but distributed among clerical bodies, security organisations, and political institutions. This enables the regime to manage elite competition and absorb external shocks, making externally driven transformation far harder than many observers assume Read more
February 4, 2026

Greenland is a test of US power – and Trump is failing it

Igor Sevenard Donald Trump’s coercion of Denmark over Greenland is not just an Arctic dispute. Igor Sevenard and Richard J. Cook argue that by treating NATO allies as real estate vendors, Trump shatters the trust necessary to deter China. Breaking faith in Europe, the US loses credibility in Asia Read more

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Advancing Political Science
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