Laura Southgate finds that democracy alone does not consistently reduce disaster impacts across Southeast Asia. A clearer pattern concerns administrative capacity and whether governments can turn political decisions into coordinated action when hazards place institutions under pressure
NATO’s Article 3 requires members 'to maintain and develop their individual and collective capacity to resist armed attack.' This includes psychological resistance and the involvement of civil resources and civil actors. Oscar Larsson analyses NATO's current discourse, and traces its evolution, to reveal the shift in vocabulary from civil defence to resilience
Vladyslav Butenko argues that Brazil’s presidential race is not a contest over the size of the welfare state. Lula offers protection through cash transfers. Flávio Bolsonaro offers protection from crime. The 25 October runoff will test which promise voters trust At first glance, Brazil’s current election looks like a repeat of 2022, when Lula da […]
Brazil’s 2026 election has put the Bolsonaro family within reach of the presidency again. Gülşen Doğan argues that the deeper story concerns what Lula’s 2022 victory and Jair Bolsonaro’s later conviction did not settle. Democratic institutions can constrain a leader without extinguishing the movement built around him In 2022, Brazilian voters removed Jair Bolsonaro from […]
How can researchers help their evidence reach the policy room? Drawing on practitioner experience, Frank Tu Ngo offers three hands-on tactics: seize policy windows, package findings for busy audiences, and engage policymakers early
Central banks are increasingly turning to artificial intelligence to analyse data and improve economic forecasts. But Elisa Mustacchi argues that this raises a question that goes beyond accuracy and efficiency. If AI increasingly shapes the information behind monetary-policy decisions, who remains accountable for the judgments that follow?
Co-creation has become a familiar response to Europe’s democratic malaise. Marjan Marjanović argues that inviting citizens into policymaking is not enough. As Europe navigates its green and digital transitions, the democratic value of co-creation depends on whether institutions share influence, allow disagreement to emerge, and remain accountable for the decisions that follow
As Europe rethinks its position in a changing world, China has become increasingly important and contested. European actors broadly agree on the need to strengthen Europe’s strategic autonomy and global position, but remain divided over how far Europe should cooperate with China or pursue greater independence. Esther D’haeninck explores how European political parties navigate these differences, and how partisan cooperation contributes to the debate
Refugees are not born of persecution; they are made by states. People may flee war, violence or persecution, but they only become refugees once a state decides they qualify for protection. Asylum is thus not simply a humanitarian matter; it is also a question of how states work. Pierre Georges Van Wolleghem investigates the quiet politics of asylum decision-making
The Holy See has no army, no intelligence service and no counterterrorism capability. Yet, Shreya Nautiyal argues, Pope Leo XIV’s recent interventions in Nigeria and his push for stronger Christian–Muslim relations show how moral diplomacy can support preventive security and build social cohesion, even if it can’t replace traditional state tools
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