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Turkey

May 17, 2023

Elections in Turkey: Erdoğan forced into electoral runoff

Massimo D'Angelo In the Turkish presidential elections of 14 May, no candidate secured 50% of the vote to secure outright victory. The election now goes to a runoff later this month. Massimo D’Angelo assesses whether a united opposition can, in the second round, defeat the incumbent President Erdoğan, who is seeking his third re-election Read more
May 12, 2023

Turkish foreign policy after the elections: a new dawn, or more of the same?

Senem Aydın-Düzgit As Turkey goes to the polls on Sunday 14 May, Senem Aydın-Düzgit considers the implications for Turkish foreign policy. If the opposition wins, it will focus on rebuilding trust with Western partners. If Erdoğan prevails, he will focus on regime survival Read more
November 17, 2022

📐Turkey shows us why it's hard to resist human rights violations through the courts

Gabriela Patricia García García Human rights organisations in Turkey face a predicament. In using the law to confront human rights violations by the government, they then experience those violations themselves. Legal mobilisation against democratic backsliding has its limits, argues Gabriela García García Read more
October 19, 2022

Can the Turkish opposition pact to defeat Erdoğan succeed?

Massimo D'Angelo Next June, in Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan will seek election as President of the Republic for the third time. Massimo D’Angelo explains the opposition parties' joint strategy to defeat Erdoğan, including a pact to overhaul institutions and restore the rule of law Read more
June 1, 2022

Turkey's veto on the NATO application from Sweden and Finland will not hold for long

Nikolaos Lampas The alliance can reverse Turkey’s opposition to Sweden and Finland joining NATO. Turkey's behaviour rests on three needs: to secure economic concessions for its struggling economy, to acquire F-16 and F-35 fighter aircraft, and to reassert itself as a NATO powerbroker, writes Nikolaos Lampas Turkey’s objection to Sweden and Finland joining NATO Sweden and Finland's […] Read more
February 22, 2022

🌊 The authoritarian consolidation attempt in Turkey

Görkem Altınörs Görkem Altınörs and Ümit Akçay analyse the political economy of regime change in Turkey. The AKP's 'authoritarian fix' strategy was a response to multiple crises in the 2010s. Now, it has led to an attempt at authoritarian consolidation Read more
November 17, 2021

Turkish foreign policy on a slippery path towards the Russia-China axis

Ziya Öniş In recent years, Turkish foreign policy has oscillated between traditional alignments with the West, and a new Eastern orientation. Partnerships with Russia and China are becoming increasingly important, write Ziya Öniş and Mustafa Kutlay. Yet Turkey must be firmly anchored to the club of democratic states to regain its benign regional and global role Read more
August 18, 2021

Does terror increase or decrease support for governments? It does both

Resul Umit There is lively debate about the effect of casualties in armed conflicts on public opinion. Do voters rally behind their governments, or punish them for failing to prevent casualties? Resul Umit observes both scenarios at the same time in Turkey, as the public reacts differently to initial and subsequent casualties Read more

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