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August 24, 2023

Estimating troop losses on both sides in the Russia-Ukraine war

Benjamin J. Radford In the wake of the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, Benjamin J. Radford, Yaoyao Dai, Niklas Stoehr, Aaron Schein, Mya Fernandez, and Hanif Sajid have developed a model to better estimate the loss numbers obscured by the fog of war and the biases of somereporting sources Read more
August 8, 2023

How do French and German voters view arms exports?

Lukas Rudolph The war in Ukraine has focussed attention on public attitudes to arms exports. New research by Lukas Rudolph, Markus Freitag, and Paul Thurner finds that in France and Germany, while a small minority is in principled opposition, a large majority makes nuanced trade-offs when articulating their positions on the issue of arms exports Read more
July 10, 2023

The downfall of Prigozhin

Alexandr Burilkov The recent mutiny of the Wagner PMC, orchestrated by Yevgeny Prigozhin, was the most serious instance of Russian internal conflict since the beginning of the Ukraine war. Alexandr Burilkov assesses whether its swift resolution reveals a regime that has survived the test unchanged, or whether it has been further weakened Read more
April 20, 2023

It’s time to rethink emergency medical aid in armed conflict

Michael Walsh ​​​Michael Walsh​​ argues that only ecosystem disruptors​​​ can realise the full potential of emergency medical teams. A radical reimagining of current structures would save lives and alleviate suffering in armed conflicts and other insecure environments​​ Read more
April 6, 2023

Why the political left rejects Ukraine, and how to change it

Aleksandra Spalińska Many leftists have been reluctant to support Ukraine against the Russian invasion. They might take an ‘anti-imperialist’ position against the US; or they may have ties to Russia through political sponsorship. Aleksandra Spalińska believes the Marxist/leftist position has deeper roots. She argues that leftists' perspective on world politics is determined by a phenomenon she calls 'methodological externalism' Read more
March 15, 2023

The Americans are determining the course of the Ukraine war – but at what cost?

Albrecht Rothacher Starting with Seymour Hersh’s account of the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline, Albrecht Rothacher argues that it is important to consider how far American interests are shaping the direction of the war in Ukraine. He cautions that in the long term, it could turn out to be a strategic blunder Read more
February 20, 2023

Why the 'Kosovo precedent' was a gateway for Russia’s abuse of international law

Lena Surzhko-Harned The Kosovo war helped consolidate the Responsibility to Protect norm. But Lena Surzhko-Harned and Jiří Nykodým argue that it also created the 'Kosovo precedent' used to undermine international law. Russia has often exploited this narrative to justify its current war in Ukraine Read more
February 1, 2023

North Korea’s tactical shift in the Indo-Pacific

Abhishek Sharma The concept of an ‘Indo-Pacific’ region is gaining traction. More countries in and beyond the Indo-Pacific region are building closer relations—in opposition to China. Abhishek Sharma argues that North Korea sees opportunity in the region's changing power dynamics to position itself as China's ally Read more

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