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Ukraine war

November 29, 2023

Is Russia preparing to conscript migrants in the next phase of its war with Ukraine?

Olga Vlasova To sustain its war in Ukraine, the Russian army needs cannon fodder. Olga Vlasova explores a growing anti-migrant discourse in the Russian media today. She concludes that it is probably connected to the country’s need for a further round of conscription before the spring 2024 elections Read more
November 28, 2023

The far right is endangering Romania’s role as a strategic partner in Eastern Europe

Ivo Kesler Ivo Kesler argues that Romania’s emerging role as a strategic asset in Eastern Europe will be compromised if the far-right party AUR wins the next parliamentary elections. Romania's role as Moldova’s most important supporter and promoter could come to an end Read more
August 24, 2023

Estimating troop losses on both sides in the Russia-Ukraine war

Benjamin J. Radford In the wake of the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, Benjamin J. Radford, Yaoyao Dai, Niklas Stoehr, Aaron Schein, Mya Fernandez, and Hanif Sajid have developed a model to better estimate the loss numbers obscured by the fog of war and the biases of somereporting sources Read more
July 10, 2023

The downfall of Prigozhin

Alexandr Burilkov The recent mutiny of the Wagner PMC, orchestrated by Yevgeny Prigozhin, was the most serious instance of Russian internal conflict since the beginning of the Ukraine war. Alexandr Burilkov assesses whether its swift resolution reveals a regime that has survived the test unchanged, or whether it has been further weakened Read more
March 15, 2023

The Americans are determining the course of the Ukraine war – but at what cost?

Albrecht Rothacher Starting with Seymour Hersh’s account of the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline, Albrecht Rothacher argues that it is important to consider how far American interests are shaping the direction of the war in Ukraine. He cautions that in the long term, it could turn out to be a strategic blunder Read more

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