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Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

October 16, 2026

Brazil’s election is a fight over what 'protection' means

Vladyslav Butenko Vladyslav Butenko argues that Brazil’s presidential race is not a contest over the size of the welfare state. Lula offers protection through cash transfers. Flávio Bolsonaro offers protection from crime. The 25 October runoff will test which promise voters trust At first glance, Brazil’s current election looks like a repeat of 2022, when Lula da […] Read more
October 16, 2026

Why defeating Bolsonaro did not defeat Bolsonarismo

Gülşen Doğan Brazil’s 2026 election has put the Bolsonaro family within reach of the presidency again. Gülşen Doğan argues that the deeper story concerns what Lula’s 2022 victory and Jair Bolsonaro’s later conviction did not settle. Democratic institutions can constrain a leader without extinguishing the movement built around him In 2022, Brazilian voters removed Jair Bolsonaro from […] Read more
August 20, 2026

Who would pay to leave Mercosur – and who would really lose

Nicolás E. Salvoni Tensions between Argentina and Brazil after Javier Milei's remarks warning Brussels not to 'restrict' the newly signed EU-Mercosur trade deal with safeguards have revived speculation about Mercosur's future. But Nicolás Salvoni explains why withdrawal remains unlikely. Here, he uses trade data to show why smaller economies – and Argentina's auto industry – would bear the sharpest costs, while Brazil's would be lower Read more
October 27, 2025

Is Latin American democracy showing signs of recovery?

Tim Pires Alves After almost twenty years of democratic decline, in 2023, liberal democracy in Latin America appeared to be regaining strength. But has it managed to sustain the trend? Tim Pires Alves assesses whether recent developments heralded a new global wave of democratisation, or whether we merely glimpsed the calm before an even harsher autocratic storm Read more

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